(Jonathan Ernst/Reuters), Republican U.S. Senate candidate John James, left, greets supporters in Michigan on Monday.

But Georgia election rules require a candidate to get to 50 percent to win outright, which could mean the two go to a runoff in January, when the winner takes all. A recent Fox News poll had Peters up eight points, 49 percent to James’s 41 percent. The National Republican Senatorial Committee is spending in seven states and recently added a nearly $500,000 coordinated campaign expenditure to boost GOP Sen. John Cornyn in Texas, the committee’s first spending there. He faces 33-year-old media executive Jon Ossoff, who was endorsed by the late civil rights icon and US Representative John Lewis. Republicans are pressing their case in Michigan, their only other chance besided Alabama to flip a seat, and Democrats are still spending heavily on defense there, even as public polls show them with a lead. Gardner, an attorney and former US representative, has aligned himself closely with Trump, which analysts have suggested may hurt him in the increasingly Democratic state. But Senate Leadership Fund and its allies mounted a late surge to counter the disparity. Democrats will need to pick up a net of four seats for a 51-49 majority. Besides Alabama, Republicans’ only other pickup opportunity this year is in Michigan. While Trump handily won Montana in 2016 and has said he will travel to Montana to support Daines, polls show Daines with only a slight edge over Bullock and independent analysts rate the race a toss-up. Peters leads slightly in polling and spending by outside groups. Democrats need to win the White House so they have a vice president who can cast a tie-breaking vote, and then, given the likely loss in Alabama, gain three more seats to take over the majority. Democrats haven’t traditionally performed well in runoffs in Georgia, and in any January race, Trump and Biden won’t be on the ballot to help drive turnout among Democrats. Still, signs look good for Democrats to keep Republicans from winning these Senate seats on the first try. Biden is also behind Trump by just two points here, according to a Washington Post average of polls. A more recent, mid-October New York Times/Siena College poll had Graham at 46 percent and Harrison at 40 percent. One or both of these races could decide which party wins the Senate majority. Two more Republican races to watch are Republican Senator Lindsey Graham’s tougher-than-expected re-election contest against Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison, and the race of new Republican Senator Kelly Loeffler, who must win a ‘king of the hill’ special election after being appointed by Georgia’s governor to replace a retiring senator. He is set to face former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper, 68, who dropped out of the Democratic presidential contest to run for Senate. Maine is a challenge for Republicans, since Joe Biden is expected to win statewide by a large margin. Democrats began the 2020 election cycle with only a narrow path back to the Senate majority. David Perdue, 70, a businessman and close Trump ally, will seek a second term in November.

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